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周一,金价下跌2.42%,收盘于每盎司$2,619。美元指数上涨0.5%,达到自7月初以来的最高点,导致非美元买家对黄金的吸引力下降。上周美元指数飙升逾1.5%,更是在特朗普胜选消息公布后升至105.44。

(XAUUSD 日线图,来源:Trading View)
市场预期特朗普上任后将较早实施关税政策,这推高了美元需求,进而给金价带来压力。美元走强首次在几个月内对黄金造成压制,同时市场对美联储可能暂缓降息的猜测不断增加。
特朗普的胜利为美联储带来了新的不确定性。美联储正在评估未来加息的时机,因通胀正接近其2%的目标。上周,美联储将基准利率下调了0.25个百分点,至4.5%至4.75%的区间。目前,交易员认为12月25个基点降息的概率为65%,低于特朗普胜选前的近80%。
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