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周三市场关注美联储官员的最新讲话及美国总统特朗普的政策表态。而特朗普在其第二任期的首次内阁会议上,特朗普誓言对欧盟进口商品征收25% 关税,加剧全球贸易紧张局势。
2025 年 2 月 26 日,特朗普总统宣布计划对欧盟进口商品征收 25% 关税,并声称欧盟“成立的目的就是为了坑害美国”。尽管他未提供具体细节,但这一决定已进一步升级全球贸易紧张局势。
对此,欧盟委员会迅速谴责该举措,警告称将“立即采取强有力的反制措施”,以应对其认为不合理的贸易壁垒。欧盟的潜在反击行动令市场不确定性加剧。
加拿大和墨西哥关税的不确定性
除欧盟关税外,特朗普还谈及此前宣布的对加拿大和墨西哥进口商品征收 25% 关税的计划。该措施原定于 3 月 4 日生效,但目前实施日期仍存在不确定性。特朗普暗示可能推迟至 4 月 2 日,而白宫发言人则坚称原定时间表保持不变。
加拿大和墨西哥均表示,如果美国坚持征收关税,它们将采取报复性措施。
与此同时,美联储官员拉斐尔·博斯蒂克(Raphael Bostic)和汤姆·巴尔金(Tom Barkin)在最新讲话中重申了对货币政策的谨慎立场:
美联储官员的鹰派言论强化了市场对利率将在更长时间内维持高位的预期,可能进一步打压风险资产。
贸易紧张局势升级与美联储的紧缩立场共同推动市场波动。标普
500 期货未能重返6,000点关口,尽管在早盘交易中有所尝试,最终仍连续第五个交易日收跌。

(标普500 期货日线图;来源:Trading View)
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